Friday, September 5, 2008

Why Palin is the most Dangerous Candidate

by Realistguy

She is a 44 year-old, self-described hockey mom with five kids and a husband called the first dude, who has only 2 years of real political experience, and yet she is the greatest threat to Barack Obama's campaign. Her road to the GOP vice presidential nomination was unlikely and has taken the attention off Obama and put it on the McCain/Palin ticket. Almost everything McCain had hoped for in this pick has come true; more media coverage, a greater personal connection with voters, and an enthused base, but before we get to why she threatens Obama, however, we must take a look at what she represents in the voters' eyes. A blue-collar woman, who represents maverick reform and down home family values, with an uncorruptable image (even while under investigation), who brought a liveliness to a once flailing campaign.
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Her bio alone, (even if most of it is untrue), makes her a great political choice. We Democrats have learned from facing Karl Rove campaigns that voters love a good story and down-home values. Eventually her lack of policy experience will catch up to her, but there is no doubt in my mind that voters care more about values than real issues. Her second greatest strength is that Democrats and the media underestimate her ability to speak and perform under pressure. As long as CNN ,MSNBC, CBS, Politico, and other political stations and sites (other than Fox News of course) keep underestimating her, the more she will pleasantly surprise the blue-collar voters that Obama needs, in order to win Colarado, Ohio, Missouri, and Pennsylvania.

Democrats also underestimate her ability to perform in a Biden-Palin debate. She is a good speaker who will have the talking points John McCain uses, so it unlikely she will be made to look like a fool. Her third greatest strength is that she is a woman. Some will be offended by this, but the truth is the truth. She will not get Clinton supporters, but her sex will make it hard for Biden and Obama to attack her without being labled sexist. Unfortunately, she has already started labling the media and democratic leaders for attacking her sex, and it is only a matter of time before Obama gets hit with some sexism attacks.

Palin has made Obama's road to the white house a more topsy-turvy road than it was. He will have to travel a fine line between what is sexist in voter's eyes and voter-approved attacks. She This forces him to talk policy and not in platitudes, which he can struggle at. For example, Palin gave Obama a big hole to attack when she insulted Community Organizers. He could have talked about how community organization started the civil rights movement, and attacked her on being out of touch with the minority vote, but because the sexism card was already out he did not. He sent out an advisor to make a flimsy Bush-McCain attack.

Now I know Young Sentinel and others believe that Obama should ignore her and go to Mccain, but she is too big a threat to leave alone. I have only two solutions. One attack her hard on all issues and the trooper scandal, take some sexism bashes and hope that voters realize what a inexperienced pick she really is. This is very risky and could backfire any minute Biden or Obama says something about family that seems anti-feminist. The second solution is not as risky, but also not as effective. Everytime Palin talks sexism, attack her on playing the feminist card and hope people see she is using her feminism for politcal gain. Both these ideas are not as effective as a slip-up by Palin because of her inexperiance, but I don't believe in waiting for things to happen.

In conclusion, I hope voters see past the political spin McCain has put out and look up facts about her Governership. I know this a highly opinionated article that will be disagreed with by Republicans and Democrats, but I'm a realist and try to see things for what they really are.

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Fine opinion. I agree that Obama/Biden will have a hard time saying things without being branded "sexist". Palin, though, is considered "middle class". She shops at the regular stores, drives herself, dumped the personal chef, and got rid of the private governor's plane that the taxpayers were paying for.
However, she labeled the media attacks on her as "sexist" because they have unrelentingly attacked her in droves on ridiculous topics. One of the lower hits was that her husband got a D.U.I....25 years ago!
One thing I want to see: Stop the never-ending personal attacks on Palin by the media. After that, the democrats will see less of the "sexist" card being played.
However, you can't disagree that Obama has used his own race to his advantage: Poll shows 91% of african americans support him, and only 3% for McCain, with 6% undecided.
Just touching on this briefly: why obama is so dangerous. I would have liked maybe 4 more years on his resume' before he ran. And his policies: I would have a different opinion on his Universal Healthcare plan, if it was somewhat tried and implemented in his home state. Sadly, that is not the truth, which leads me to suspect that a majority of his policies are bogus. I trust Hillary quite a bit more in the White House then Obama, because she "knows her way around the political scene." John McCain is still the best choice...in my opinion.
John McCain 2008

Anonymous said...

I tried to hold off, but there were two blatant fallacies in that.

"I would have a different opinion on his Universal Healthcare plan, if it was somewhat tried and implemented in his home state. Sadly, that is not the truth, which leads me to suspect that a majority of his policies are bogus."

That's the fallacy of [very] hasty generalization. Even if you think one of his policies is "bogus", it doesn't automatically mean that all of them are.

Also: "However, you can't disagree that Obama has used his own race to his advantage: Poll shows 91% of african americans support him, and only 3% for McCain, with 6% undecided."

This is the fallacy of non causa pro causa: Obama's race may make him more appealing to African-American voters, but he has as much as possible specifically avoided "using his race" in the way you describe; attaching that appeal to Obama's actions is just plain wrong (as in incorrect, not immoral or anything like that).

Logically yours,
Sectori

Anonymous said...

Well, he is proposing a gas tax holiday which was tried by Carter and that was a huge bust. I have no idea what his policies on energy are because he has flipped sides so many times. Nuclear? Yes, no? Off-shore drilling? Yes,no?
The thing I noticed though, is that the amount of African Americans voting have never had such a high turn out,so to speak, for one candidate. Race is definetly involved here. Back in the 2004 election it was 89% Kerry and 11% Bush, I think. 2% increase is not that much, but we are still not counting the remaining 6%.
John McCain 2008

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