Pennsylvania Predictions

A funny Post from Political Wire:

When Pollsters Go Bad

Public Policy Polling, the only pollster to predict an Obama win in Pennsylvania, explains: "The networks have called it for Hillary and I think after Florida in 2000 they're not going to make that mistake again, so obviously our polls were wrong. First off, please do not call us or e-mail us and tell us we suck! We are well aware, and it does not feel good."
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My predictions beforehand: Clinton 52, Obama 47.

Supposedly machines were broken, often all in a given precinct, in many counties. This seems to hurt Obama, but we can't be sure.

I've analyzed the CNN exit polls, and it seems as if Clinton has about a 51.5-48 lead. This is well within the Margin of Error, leaving this race open.

It still looks like a Clinton win, but Obama could conceivably pull it off. We'll see.


Happy Primary Day.

Obama 2008!

Update: With 61% of the vote counted, Clinton wins 54-46. This leaves the race open, continuing the showdown to Indiana and North Carolina on May 6.